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Guadalupe River & Central Texas 4th Of July Holiday Weekend Flash Flooding Catastrophe!

Sunday, July 6, 2025.

At least 59 people have died in Guadalupe River flooding

Link to my cover video:

There are many things in Nino’s interview with Dan Wigington that I disagree with. There are some that I agree with. Watch the interview and make up your own mind.

Dane Wigington "THE REAL CLIMATE EMERGENCY NOBODY IS TALKING ABOUT!" 7-6-25

Jul 5, 2025

Dane Wigington Lead Researcher of Geoengineeringwatch.org joins Ninoscorner.tv to sound the alarm bells on what is really happening within our planet. Before we discuss CLIMATE ANYTHING we must first acknowledge and address the largest climate disruption part of the equation…CLIMATE ENGINEERING ! In this podcast Dane explains the methods, science and consequences of climate engineering operations.. Dane states, “ numerous scientists agree that a global ecological collapse is imminent by the end of this decade.”

Update at 1:42 PM MDT Sunday, July 6, 2025: Fox News says that 70 have now been confirmed dead.

A heartbreaking tragedy of epic proportions began unfolding early in the morning on July 4th along the Guadalupe River. As of this Sunday morning, the death toll from the catastrophic and historic flash flooding along the Guadalupe River has reached 59 in Kerr County, Texas. 11 children and one counselor from the Camp Mystic River site are still missing. The death toll includes 38 adults and 21 children, according to officials in Kerr County, where about 850 have been rescued. Sadly, the number of deaths is expected to continue to rise.

Across the flooded area, it is still unknown exactly how many are still missing. Some say that this figure may be in the dozens or hundreds. As of Saturday evening, over 850 people had been rescued, with those efforts ongoing around the clock.

The Guadalupe River Basin has a long history of flash flooding and flash flood deaths. Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Barry moved inland into central Texas and stalled over the 4th of July holiday and weekend. Widespread rainfall totals across the area range from 5” to 10”. With several pockets of 10” to 15”, and even as high as 21”. More rain (some heavy) is forecast for the area today into the middle of the week, along with Flood Watches remaining in effect.

When that much rain falls in the Texas Hill Country (or anywhere else for that matter), it has to go somewhere. Creeks, Streams, and rivers rapidly flooded in record time and rose to record heights as the runoff inundated the area.

The Colorado River near San Saba, Texas, crested at 41.81’ yesterday. The Guadalupe River crested at 34.29’ on July 4th at Kerrville, Texas.

It didn’t take long for social media outlets to explode with the weather warfare theory that this is what caused the flooding in Central Texas. In fact it took less than 24 hours. Don’t get me wrong, I do believe that weather warfare is real, as is weather modification. I’m just not sold on how widespread and powerful it is. I admit that some weather disasters may be caused by weather warfare and weather modification, but not all IMHO.

What boils my blood is that the people on social media who are pushing this theory about the Guadalupe River flooding have presented no proof that this is what happened. If they have that proof, then put that info out there for the whole world to see.

I’m sorry, but this nonsense has become the new fad, the new clickbait trap that so many are spreading around on social media. It gets them attention and a small level of notoriety. It gives them their 15 minutes of fame. It’s time to start calling these people out. They have gotten as bad as the Democrats are about climate change.

Solely blaming the National Weather Service for this disaster is irresponsible and wrong. This is a many-sided tragedy that is complicated and troubling. Yes, I have no doubt that the recent 11% cuts in staffing and budget cuts across the board within the National Weather Service played a part in this.

However, from what I have read, the forecasters at the San Angelo and the Austin/San Antonio National Weather Service Offices, which have forecast and warning responsibility for the flooded areas, did their job. They issued flash flood watches, then upgraded those to flash flood warnings, and finally upgraded those warnings to flash flood emergency warnings. Were their warnings heeded, or were they ignored, or not received at all?

Blaming President Trump for this tragedy is just as stupid and irresponsible. There are other factors that need to be looked at also.

This area is infamous for its history of flash flooding and flood deaths. So why were these campgrounds allowed to be built right along these riverbeds that have repeatedly flooded over time?

Were the people camped along these rivers, creeks, and streams situationally aware of the Flash Flood Watches, Warnings, and impending flooding threats? If not, why not? There has to be some personal responsibility taken here…by the adults involved. They had those children's lives in their hands.

What role did local Emergency Management and local Law Enforcement Officials play in warning those camped along the Guadalupe River and others nearby? Did they try to warn them? If so, were their warnings timely and effective? So many unanswered questions that will need to be addressed to help prevent another catastrophe like this from happening again.

My heart breaks for those lost, their families, loved ones, and friends. My prayers go out to you. The first responders and rescues are heroes, as are all of those trying to help find the missing. Our prayers go out to you, too.

When I was five years old, a total stranger knocked on our front door and warned my mother that a flash flood was coming. She immediately gathered up me and my two other siblings and fled for safety. We lost everything we owned, but the clothes on our backs and the vehicle we fled the scene in. This was one of the driving forces in my life that inspired me to study and follow the weather like I have over the past 52 years. That was a life-changing event, and this flood tragedy will be one for all of those affected.

 If you live in the Guadalupe River Basin, you also live in one of the three most dangerous regions in the U.S.A. for flash floods! 

Local residents and weather experts refer to the Texas Hill Country as ‘Flash Flood Alley,’ because heavy rainfall and runoff from creeks and streams can cause rapid rises and flooding in a matter of hours. 

This publication is designed to prepare you for such an event by increasing public awareness about the dangers of flooding in the Guadalupe River Basin. The Guadalupe River experienced major floods in 1936, 1952, 1972, 1973, 1978, 1987, 1991 and 1997.

Last year’s flood of October 1998 developed in a matter of hours, broke most existing records, exceeded the 100-year flood plain, and inundated areas that had never been flooded before. It was the flood that many thought would never happen. 

Camp Mystic and Texas flooding raw, drone footage from the Guadalupe to the San Gabriel River

Austin American-Statesman Jul 6, 2025

Footage of Central Texas flooding in 2025. 0:00 - 4:07 Camp Mystic flooding in Texas 4:08 - 8:25 Guadalupe River flooding in drone footage 8:26 - 12:07 San Gabriel River, Georgetown flooding footage

National Weather Service Dual Pol Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Estimates Using GRLevel3 Software.

Texas CoCoRaHS Rainfall Totals-July 1st - July 6th, 2025.

Join the CoCoRaHS Volunteer Nationwide Rainfall/Snowfall/Hail Reporting Network.

National Weather Service San Angelo, Texas 72-Hour Rainfall Reports.

Selected reports of 10” of rainfall or more.

PNSSJT
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-154-155-168>170-
052037-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
337 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025

...PRECIPITATION REPORTS...

Location                     Amount    Time/Date       Lat/Lon              
4 NW Streeter                20.33 in  0420 PM 07/04   30.80N/99.43W        
HEXT                         18.49 in  0315 AM 07/05   30.89N/99.52W        
Wall                         17.50 in  0315 AM 07/05   31.37N/100.31W       
6.0 NW Streeter              14.58 in  0300 AM 07/05   30.84N/99.42W        
Mason 13 WNW                 13.88 in  0325 AM 07/05   30.84N/99.42W        
San Angelo                   13.51 in  0315 AM 07/05   31.54N/100.51W       
Mason 15 W                   10.11 in  0325 AM 07/05   30.71N/99.48W        

National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio, Texas 72-Hour Rainfall Reports.

Selected reports of 10” of rainfall or more.

215
NOUS44 KEWX 061403
PNSEWX
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-070203-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
903 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...72 HOUR PRECIPITATION REPORTS...

Location                     Amount    Time/Date       Lat/Lon

...Texas...

...Burnet County...
Bertram 8 SSW                20.92 in  0840 AM 07/06   30.64N/98.11W
7.9 SW Bertram               20.54 in  0800 AM 07/06   30.64N/98.11W
BALCONES NWR AUSTIN 33 NW    18.48 in  0840 AM 07/06   30.62N/98.08W
Bertram 9.1 SSW              16.96 in  0800 AM 07/06   30.61N/98.09W
Balcones Flying X            16.75 in  0835 AM 07/06   30.63N/98.08W
Oatmeal 1.7 WNW              15.30 in  0700 AM 07/06   30.71N/98.12W
5 SSW Bertram                15.26 in  0700 AM 07/06   30.67N/98.10W
Burnet                       15.25 in  0800 AM 07/06   30.76N/98.23W
Burnet 1 WSW                 14.11 in  0840 AM 07/06   30.76N/98.24W
Burnet 5.0 NNW               13.55 in  0700 AM 07/06   30.83N/98.26W
Burnet 1.6 NE                13.55 in  0700 AM 07/06   30.78N/98.21W
2.5 NE Bertram               12.98 in  0700 AM 07/06   30.76N/98.02W
Burnet 5 NNW                 12.86 in  0840 AM 07/06   30.83N/98.26W
Bertram 4.9 NE               11.99 in  0800 AM 07/06   30.79N/97.99W
Burnet 3.0 SE                11.90 in  0700 AM 07/06   30.74N/98.19W
5.0 NW Burnet                11.17 in  0800 AM 07/06   30.83N/98.26W
Burnet 6 SSE                 10.57 in  0840 AM 07/06   30.67N/98.21W
Marble Falls 6 ENE           10.34 in  0840 AM 07/06   30.60N/98.17W
6.2 E Marble Falls           10.02 in  0800 AM 07/06   30.60N/98.17W

...Kerr County...
Ingram 5.5 W                 11.84 in  0842 AM 07/06   30.08N/99.33W
Hunt 1.9 NNE                 11.66 in  0700 AM 07/06   30.10N/99.33W

...Travis County...
Marble Falls 14 ESE          18.50 in  0840 AM 07/06   30.57N/98.04W
8.0 NW Lago Vista            18.38 in  0800 AM 07/06   30.57N/98.04W
Balcones                     17.69 in  0847 AM 07/06   30.57N/98.04W
Cow Creek near Lago Vista    17.19 in  0840 AM 07/06   30.50N/98.04W
4.5 NW Lago Vista            17.18 in  0800 AM 07/06   30.50N/98.04W
Leander 6.4 WNW              14.20 in  0746 AM 07/06   30.60N/97.96W
Lago Vista 2.0 NNE           13.49 in  0700 AM 07/06   30.48N/97.99W
Lago Vista - Rusty Allen Arp 10.91 in  0835 AM 07/06   30.50N/97.97W
Leander 5 SW                 10.64 in  0841 AM 07/06   30.54N/97.93W
3.4 N Jonestown              10.60 in  0800 AM 07/06   30.54N/97.93W
Leander 4.5 WNW              10.59 in  0800 AM 07/06   30.58N/97.93W

...Williamson County...
LIBERTY HILL                 20.55 in  0849 AM 07/06   30.69N/97.91W
Round Rock                   17.06 in  0844 AM 07/06   30.67N/97.92W
Liberty Hill 3.5 NW          12.98 in  0730 AM 07/06   30.70N/97.97W
Liberty Hill 1.2 N           12.71 in  0700 AM 07/06   30.68N/97.92W
River Ranch Park             12.34 in  0817 AM 07/06   30.64N/97.94W
1 NNE Liberty Hill           12.13 in  0700 AM 07/06   30.69N/97.91W
Liberty Hill 3.9 NNW         11.95 in  0800 AM 07/06   30.72N/97.94W

Texas Flash Flooding Headlines:

First responders from College Station Fire Department search along the banks of the Guadalupe River, as rescue efforts continue following extreme flooding, Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Ingram, Texas. (AP Photo/Rodolfo Gonzalez)

Texas floods leave dozens dead, missing as crews search for survivors

Devastating floods across central Texas have killed at least 51 people after a storm pounded the region. Texas Gov. Greg Abbott issued a proclamation declaring Sunday as a day of prayer across the state in response to the flooding.

Covered by: Stephen Sorace Jul 6, 2025

Kerr County, Texas officials give update on flood death toll, missing campers

Devastating flooding in Kerr County, Texas, has killed at least 59 people as of Sunday as crews continue to search for survivors, including 11 children and one counselor still missing from a Christian summer camp.

Kerr County Sheriff Larry Leitha told reporters during a news conference Sunday morning that of the 59 confirmed dead, there were 38 adults and 21 children. Officials were still working to identify 18 of the deceased adults and four of the children.

Leitha said that 11 young girls and one counselor from Camp Mystic, a retreat along the banks of the Guadalupe River in Hunt, Texas, were still missing.

Officials had earlier said that 27 campers were missing. Officials did not immediately provide further details on the updated count.

“We will continue our search efforts until everyone is found,” the sheriff said.

Officials have previously confirmed that another eight people died in nearby counties, bringing the total death toll across Central Texas to 67 as of Sunday morning.

Posted by Stephen Sorace

Texas family helps rescue woman clinging to tree after being swept 20 miles downriver

One Texas family helped save a woman's life who was clinging to a tree for hours as deadly flash flooding struck Kerr County over the weekend.

The woman, who was swept 20 miles downriver, caught the Jeter family's attention when she saw Carl and began to "scream for help" while he was outside on his deck. "She spotted me, and she started to scream for help," Carl told "Fox & Friends Weekend" on Sunday.

"At first, I couldn't… locate her. I thought she was in the river itself going downstream, and I was like, ‘Oh my gosh,’ and then I finally was able to look across the river at the end of the tree and I spotted her, so I began to call out to her and tell her that I see her… ‘I got you. We're going to get you some help. It's going to be okay. Just hang on.'"

The family was able to call for help and ultimately, Texas troopers rescued the woman from the tree after an hours-long nightmare.

This is an excerpt from an article by Fox News Digital's Bailee Hill. To continue reading, click here.

Posted by Stephen Sorace

As Floods Hit, Key Roles Were Vacant at Weather Service Offices in Texas

By Christopher Flavelle, July 5, 2025 Christopher Flavelle has written about the National Weather Service since 2019. He reported from Washington.

Some experts say staff shortages might have complicated forecasters’ ability to coordinate responses with local emergency management officials.

Crucial positions at the local offices of the National Weather Service were unfilled as severe rainfall inundated parts of Central Texas on Friday morning, prompting some experts to question whether staffing shortages made it harder for the forecasting agency to coordinate with local emergency managers as floodwaters rose.

Texas officials appeared to blame the Weather Service for issuing forecasts on Wednesday that underestimated how much rain was coming. But former Weather Service officials said the forecasts were as good as could be expected, given the enormous levels of rainfall and the storm’s unusually abrupt escalation.

The staffing shortages suggested a separate problem, those former officials said — the loss of experienced people who would typically have helped communicate with local authorities in the hours after flash flood warnings were issued overnight.

The shortages are among the factors likely to be scrutinized as the death toll climbs from the floods. Separate questions have emerged about the preparedness of local communities, including Kerr County’s apparent lack of a local flood warning system. The county, roughly 50 miles northwest of San Antonio, is where many of the deaths occurred.

In an interview, Rob Kelly, the Kerr County judge and its most senior elected official, said the county did not have a warning system because such systems are expensive, and local residents are resistant to new spending.

“Taxpayers won’t pay for it,” Mr. Kelly said. Asked if people might reconsider in light of the catastrophe, he said, “I don’t know.”

The National Weather Service’s San Angelo office, which is responsible for some of the areas hit hardest by Friday’s flooding, was missing a senior hydrologist, staff forecaster and meteorologist in charge, according to Tom Fahy, the legislative director for the National Weather Service Employees Organization, the union that represents Weather Service workers.

The Weather Service’s nearby San Antonio office, which covers other areas hit by the floods, also had significant vacancies, including a warning coordination meteorologist and science officer, Mr. Fahy said. Staff members in those positions are meant to work with local emergency managers to plan for floods, including when and how to warn local residents and help them evacuate.

That office’s warning coordination meteorologist left on April 30, after taking the early retirement package the Trump administration used to reduce the number of federal employees, according to a person with knowledge of his departure.

Some of the openings may predate the current Trump administration. But at both offices, the vacancy rate is roughly double what it was when Mr. Trump returned to the White House in January, according to Mr. Fahy.

John Sokich, who until January was director of congressional affairs for the National Weather Service, said those unfilled positions made it harder to coordinate with local officials because each Weather Service office works as a team. “Reduced staffing puts that in jeopardy,” he said.

A spokeswoman for the National Weather Service, Erica Grow Cei, did not answer questions from The New York Times about the Texas vacancies, including how long those positions had been open and whether those vacancies had contributed to the damage caused by the flooding.

“The National Weather Service is heartbroken by the tragic loss of life,” she said in a statement, adding that the agency “remains committed to our mission to serve the American public through our forecasts and decision support services.”

A White House spokeswoman directed a request for comment to the Commerce Department, which includes the Weather Service. The department did not respond to a request for comment.

The tragedy began to unfold in the early hours of July 4, when more than 10 inches of rain fell in some areas northwest of San Antonio, including in Kerr County, where more than 850 people were evacuated by rescuers. As of Saturday evening, 27 girls from a Christian summer camp remained missing.

That night, Nim Kidd, chief of the Texas Division of Emergency Management, appeared to fault the Weather Service, noting that forecasters on Wednesday had predicted as much as six to eight inches of rain in the region. “The amount of rain that fell in this specific location was never in any of those forecasts,” he said at a news conference with Gov. Greg Abbott.

But what makes flash floods so hazardous is their ability to strike quickly, with limited warning. Around midnight on Thursday, the San Angelo and San Antonio weather offices put out their first flash flood warnings, urging people to “move immediately to higher ground.” The office sent out additional flash flood warnings through the night, expanding the area of danger.

It is not clear what steps local officials took to act on those warnings. A spokesman for the Kerr County emergency management department did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

The amount of rain that fell Friday morning was hard for the Weather Service to anticipate, with reports in some areas of 15 inches over just a few hours, according to Louis W. Uccellini, who was director of the National Weather Service from 2013 until 2022.

“It’s pretty hard to forecast for these kinds of rainfall rates,” Dr. Uccellini said. He said that climate change was making extreme rainfall events more frequent and severe, and that more research was needed so that the Weather Service could better forecast those events.

An equally important question, he added, was how the Weather Service was coordinating with local emergency managers to act on those warnings as they came in.

Most of the deaths occurred in Kerr County. Credit...Michel Fortier/The San Antonio Express-News, via Associated Press

“You have to have a response mechanism that involves local officials,” Dr. Uccellini said. “It involves a relationship with the emergency management community, at every level.”

But that requires having staff members in those positions, he said.

Under the Trump administration, the Weather Service, like other federal agencies, has been pushed to reduce its number of employees. By this spring, through layoffs and retirements, the Weather Service had lost nearly 600 people from a work force that until recently was as large as 4,000.

Some forecasting offices began to close down at night, and others launched fewer weather balloons, which send back crucial data to feed forecasts. The Weather Service said it was preparing for “degraded operations,” with fewer meteorologists available to fine-tune forecasts.

Last month, despite a government hiring freeze, the Weather Service announced a plan to hire 126 people in positions around the country, in what Ms. Cei, the agency’s spokeswoman, described as an effort to “stabilize” the department. As of this week, those jobs had not been posted in the federal government’s hiring portal.

Mr. Sokich said that the local Weather Service offices appeared to have sent out the correct warnings. He said the challenge was getting people to receive those warnings, and then take action.

Under the Trump administration, the Weather Service, like other federal agencies, has been pushed to reduce its number of employees. Credit...Jordan Vonderhaar for The New York Times

Typically, Mr. Sokich said, the Weather Service will send an official to meet regularly with local emergency managers for what are called “tabletop operations” — planning ahead of time for what to do in case of a flash flood or other major weather disaster.

But the Trump administration’s pursuit of fewer staff members means remaining employees have less time to spend coordinating with local officials, he said.

The Trump administration has also put strict limits on new hires at the Weather Service, Mr. Sokich said. So unlike during previous administrations, when these vacancies could have quickly been filled, the agency now has fewer options.

The Trump administration also froze spending on travel, he added, making it even harder for Weather Service staff members to meet with their state and local counterparts.

That does not mean there is not room for cuts at the Weather Service, Mr. Sokich said. “But you need to do them deliberately and thoughtfully,” he said.

David Montgomery and Judson Jones contributed reporting.

Christopher Flavelle is a Times reporter covering how President Trump is transforming the federal government.

Chris Martz @ChrisMartzWX Last edited9:24 PM · Jul 5, 2025 · 59.5K Views

Hi @NormOrnstein

Meteorologist here.

Let me ‘splain something to ya. The flood in Texas was caused by the remnant mid-level circulation of Tropical Storm Barry merging into a trough over central Texas containing moisture that was advected (horizontally transported) in off of the east Pacific. These remnant lows are typically slow-moving as their circulation is detached from the main jet stream flow. So, they tend to drop a lot of rain (we are talking close to 120 billion gallons in this case) over a concentrated area.

This particular system stalled over the Texas Hill Country, and caused massive flooding along the banks of the Guadalupe River. Camp Mystic happens to be built on its floodplain where sediment has been deposited by floods for tens of thousands of years. In 1987, a flash flood on the same river killed 10 teenage campers from the Pot O Gold Christian Camp, with another 33 swept away by rising floodwaters who thankfully survived.

https://newspapers.com/image/979014003/ While there has been an 11% cut to the NOAA National Weather Service (NWS) staff since President Trump assumed office in January, there was still plenty of warning and lead time. The NWS office in Austin / San Antonio issued a flood watch for Kerr County 12 hours before the flooding occurred, and a flood warning at 1:14 a.m. CDT yesterday (Friday for those reading this Saturday), three hours before the event. They also declared a FLOOD EMERGENCY at 5:34 that morning.

https://ialert.com/cgi-bin/search.pl?s=d2&alert=11460229&t=Flash-Flood-Warning-issued-July-4-at-534AM-CDT-until-July-4-at-1200PM-CDT--Kerr-TX Here are the receipts.

Your misplaced attack on Vice President @JDVance is also a huge slap in the face to the hard-working meteorologists who worked around the clock to do their best to keep people safe. Do better.

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